Arka Gdynia vs Jagiellonia Bialystok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arka Gdynia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
JAG
3 - 1
ARK
55%
23%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2018 |
ARK
4 - 1
WIS
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MIE
0 - 4
ARK
32%
27%
42%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
ARK
2 - 3
POG
46%
27%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
HUR
0 - 1
ARK
4%
12%
84%
|
74 | 35 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
JAG
3 - 1
ARK
55%
23%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
GDA
3 - 2
JAG
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
JAG
2 - 2
LPO
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2018 |
ZAG
1 - 4
JAG
20%
24%
56%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
GKS
0 - 1
JAG
9%
16%
75%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | -1 |