Greek Super League European Playoffs Round 4

Aris Thessaloniki vs AEK Athens analysis

Aris Thessaloniki AEK Athens
76 ELO 77
-14.3% Tilt -11.8%
474º General ELO ranking 476º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
41.2%
Aris Thessaloniki
28.4%
Draw
30.4%
AEK Athens

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
Aris Thessaloniki
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
30.4%
Win probability
AEK Athens
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aris Thessaloniki
+2%
-2%
AEK Athens

ELO progression

Aris Thessaloniki
AEK Athens
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aris Thessaloniki
Aris Thessaloniki
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 May. 2010
AEK
AEK Athens
4 - 2
Aris Thessaloniki
ARI
54%
25%
21%
77 77 0 0
02 May. 2010
PAO
PAOK
2 - 0
Aris Thessaloniki
ARI
50%
27%
23%
79 80 1 -2
28 Apr. 2010
ARI
Aris Thessaloniki
2 - 0
Olympiacos
OLP
38%
28%
34%
79 83 4 0
24 Apr. 2010
PAN
Panathinaikos
1 - 0
Aris Thessaloniki
ARI
64%
20%
16%
80 83 3 -1
18 Apr. 2010
OLP
Olympiacos
2 - 1
Aris Thessaloniki
ARI
60%
23%
18%
80 83 3 0

Matches

AEK Athens
AEK Athens
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 May. 2010
AEK
AEK Athens
4 - 2
Aris Thessaloniki
ARI
54%
25%
21%
77 77 0 0
02 May. 2010
OLP
Olympiacos
2 - 1
AEK Athens
AEK
58%
23%
19%
79 81 2 -2
28 Apr. 2010
AEK
AEK Athens
0 - 0
PAOK
PAO
54%
24%
22%
80 81 1 -1
18 Apr. 2010
AEK
AEK Athens
2 - 0
Asteras Tripolis
TRI
67%
20%
13%
79 72 7 +1
11 Apr. 2010
LEV
Levadiakos
0 - 0
AEK Athens
AEK
26%
28%
46%
79 66 13 0