Ariquemes vs Vilhena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
43.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-166%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariquemes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
GEN
3 - 2
ARI
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
ARI
1 - 2
ESP
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ARI
3 - 2
ROL
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
SHA
1 - 3
ARI
40%
23%
37%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ARI
6 - 1
PIM
60%
21%
20%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Vilhena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 2
VIL
39%
24%
37%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 1
GEN
61%
20%
19%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 0
JAR
65%
19%
16%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
PIM
0 - 4
VIL
25%
24%
51%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 0
SHA
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | +1 |