Ariana FC vs Oskarshamns AIK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
9º
8º
15
10º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 62 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 62 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 56 |
3º
|
48% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 50 |
4º
|
42.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 46 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 43 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 42 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 41 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 37 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 36 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 34 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 32 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 26 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 26 |
15º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 22 |
16º
|
70.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 99% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariana FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
LJU
3 - 1
AFC
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
AFC
3 - 0
ESK
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2025 |
HAS
2 - 1
AFC
52%
25%
24%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
AFC
1 - 2
ROS
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
OLY
1 - 1
AFC
51%
25%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Oskarshamns AIK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
OSK
1 - 4
HAS
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
NOR
3 - 0
OSK
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
OSK
0 - 1
TIK
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
OSK
0 - 0
ESK
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
SKO
1 - 1
OSK
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |