Arganda vs RCD Carabanchel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
ARG
2 - 1
ALC
50%
27%
23%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
SDT
2 - 1
ARG
55%
25%
20%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
ARG
1 - 1
VDB
49%
26%
25%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
CAR
2 - 2
ARG
72%
18%
9%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
ARG
0 - 0
SAL
60%
24%
16%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
CAR
1 - 0
SDT
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
VAL
3 - 4
CAR
38%
29%
33%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
MAN
1 - 2
CAR
57%
26%
17%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
CAR
2 - 2
ARG
72%
18%
9%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
SFN
4 - 1
CAR
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |