Arganda vs CD Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
13.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+103%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SEU
2 - 4
ARG
41%
24%
35%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ARG
1 - 1
ARY
55%
22%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ARG
3 - 0
NVL
59%
20%
20%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CDO
1 - 2
ARG
42%
25%
34%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ARG
1 - 1
VLO
40%
25%
35%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CDF
2 - 2
CDM
33%
24%
43%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ATP
4 - 1
CDF
41%
24%
35%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
COL
3 - 1
CDF
69%
20%
11%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CDF
0 - 0
GRI
40%
26%
35%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
LEG
1 - 2
CDF
66%
19%
14%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |