Arévalo e Hijos vs Gimnástica Medinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
56.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arévalo e Hijos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
CAB
1 - 1
AEH
88%
9%
3%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
AEH
0 - 2
VAL
13%
25%
62%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
ZAM
2 - 1
AEH
84%
13%
4%
|
13 | 44 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
AEH
0 - 3
CFP
14%
27%
59%
|
14 | 42 | 28 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
NUM
3 - 1
AEH
84%
12%
4%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Gimnástica Medinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
MED
2 - 0
SPH
36%
28%
36%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
BEN
1 - 2
MED
74%
16%
10%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
MED
3 - 1
VEL
56%
25%
19%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
MED
4 - 1
CDL
22%
28%
50%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
CAB
4 - 1
MED
83%
12%
5%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |