Arevalo CF vs El Tiemblo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.9%
21.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+156%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arevalo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ARE
5 - 1
CVJ
67%
17%
16%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
PEB
2 - 3
ARE
18%
17%
66%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ARE
7 - 0
ADR
82%
11%
7%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SER
3 - 4
ARE
43%
21%
36%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ARE
4 - 2
FCN
74%
14%
12%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
El Tiemblo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SER
3 - 1
TIE
44%
21%
35%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
TIE
6 - 0
FCN
82%
11%
6%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CVJ
3 - 2
TIE
18%
18%
64%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
TIE
2 - 0
PEB
76%
13%
10%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ADR
1 - 5
TIE
13%
15%
72%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | +1 |