Aretxabaleta vs Tolosa CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
22.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aretxabaleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
CDT
1 - 4
ATX
64%
21%
15%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
ATX
1 - 3
RUN
29%
27%
44%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
LEM
1 - 0
ATX
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
ATX
1 - 1
SNT
28%
27%
45%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
ATX
0 - 0
AFT
39%
27%
34%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
TOL
1 - 2
EIB
29%
32%
39%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
AUR
3 - 0
TOL
64%
23%
13%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
TOL
0 - 0
GER
60%
25%
15%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
CDU
3 - 1
TOL
77%
16%
8%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
SDA
1 - 1
TOL
73%
18%
9%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |