Arenteiro vs CD Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arenteiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ARE
1 - 0
ROB
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
GIM
1 - 2
ARE
30%
28%
42%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ARE
1 - 1
BER
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
COX
0 - 0
ARE
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ARE
2 - 1
COM
51%
25%
24%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NAV
1 - 0
TEX
62%
22%
17%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ESC
2 - 0
NAV
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
NAV
0 - 0
TRO
23%
24%
54%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
NAV
0 - 0
TRO
24%
22%
55%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CAY
0 - 1
NAV
57%
23%
20%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |