Arenteiro vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arenteiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
RIB
0 - 3
ARE
29%
25%
46%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ARE
1 - 1
BOU
67%
20%
14%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
PON
1 - 3
ARE
12%
20%
68%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
ARE
4 - 2
BAR
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
UDO
1 - 3
ARE
40%
25%
35%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
CHO
3 - 1
RIB
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
BOU
2 - 1
CHO
32%
26%
42%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
CHO
2 - 2
UDA
68%
19%
14%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
PON
1 - 0
CHO
12%
21%
67%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
CHO
1 - 1
BAR
60%
21%
20%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |