Arenteiro vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arenteiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
COX
1 - 1
ARE
57%
22%
21%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
ARE
0 - 0
CEL
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
ATO
6 - 0
ARE
86%
10%
5%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
ARE
3 - 1
ALO
49%
24%
28%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
BOU
4 - 2
ARE
66%
19%
15%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
CHO
1 - 2
GRA
80%
13%
8%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
DEP
3 - 0
CHO
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
LUG
4 - 1
CHO
88%
8%
3%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
CHO
4 - 0
COX
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
CEL
1 - 0
CHO
58%
22%
20%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |