ISL Round 3

Arema FC vs Persela analysis

Arema FC Persela
62 ELO 51
15% Tilt -0.3%
4682º General ELO ranking 4213º
15º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
69.9%
Arema FC
18.4%
Draw
11.8%
Persela

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
Arema FC
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.8%
Win probability
Persela
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arema FC
+6%
+11%
Persela

ELO progression

Arema FC
Persela
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arema FC
Arema FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 May. 2019
PUS
Borneo Samarinda
2 - 0
Arema FC
ARE
30%
26%
44%
63 54 9 0
15 May. 2019
PSS
PSS Sleman
3 - 1
Arema FC
ARE
20%
27%
53%
64 51 13 -1
12 Apr. 2019
ARE
Arema FC
2 - 0
Persebaya
PER
38%
22%
39%
63 64 1 +1
09 Apr. 2019
PER
Persebaya
2 - 2
Arema FC
ARE
44%
24%
32%
63 64 1 0
05 Apr. 2019
PKP
Kalteng Putra
0 - 3
Arema FC
ARE
14%
17%
69%
63 52 11 0

Matches

Persela
Persela
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 May. 2019
PER
Persela
2 - 2
Persipura
PER
35%
26%
39%
52 57 5 0
17 May. 2019
PER
Persela
1 - 5
Madura United
MAD
37%
27%
36%
53 58 5 -1
31 Mar. 2019
PER
Persela
1 - 2
Madura United
MAD
31%
25%
45%
54 60 6 -1
13 Mar. 2019
BAR
Barito Putera
1 - 1
Persela
PER
42%
24%
34%
54 55 1 0
09 Mar. 2019
PER
Persela
1 - 0
Arema FC
ARE
26%
24%
50%
53 61 8 +1