Arema FC vs Madura United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arema FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
PER
4 - 3
ARE
19%
25%
56%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2019 |
ARE
1 - 0
SEM
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2019 |
PST
1 - 1
ARE
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
PER
2 - 2
ARE
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
PSM
6 - 2
ARE
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Madura United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
MAD
0 - 2
PER
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
MAD
1 - 0
PST
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2019 |
PSM
1 - 0
MAD
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
SEM
1 - 2
MAD
23%
27%
51%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
MAD
2 - 1
PER
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |