Ardennen vs Sint-Niklaas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
13º
7º
0
15º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
92% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 47 |
7º
|
92% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 45 |
8º
|
45% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
40.5% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 42 |
12º
|
75% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 37 |
13º
|
94.5% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 0 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardennen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ARD
2 - 0
SKM
27%
21%
52%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SVE
3 - 0
ARD
45%
22%
32%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ARD
0 - 2
KSC
59%
20%
21%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BER
1 - 3
ARD
42%
24%
35%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +3 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ARD
1 - 1
SOT
61%
19%
20%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sint-Niklaas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MAL
4 - 0
STN
84%
10%
5%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
STN
0 - 5
KTB
12%
16%
72%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
EEN
6 - 4
STN
73%
17%
10%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
STN
0 - 2
HAA
26%
21%
54%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
STN
1 - 2
GBG
33%
22%
46%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |