Årdal vs Haugesund II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
57.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
10º
13º
13º
29
8º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 4 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Årdal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
ARD
3 - 4
STO
20%
19%
61%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
FLO
0 - 2
ARD
60%
19%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ARD
0 - 6
DJE
15%
18%
68%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
FAN
5 - 0
ARD
88%
8%
4%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ARD
2 - 4
OTF
10%
14%
76%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | -2 |
Matches
Haugesund II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
HAU
2 - 3
OTF
15%
19%
67%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
FAN
0 - 1
HAU
80%
13%
7%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
HAU
2 - 1
FLO
70%
16%
14%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
ASA
1 - 1
HAU
41%
21%
38%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
HAU
0 - 1
LIL
69%
16%
15%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |