Ardagger vs Würmla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
42.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
LEO
0 - 0
ARD
57%
23%
21%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
ARD
0 - 1
KOT
29%
25%
47%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
STP
0 - 0
ARD
48%
24%
28%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
ARD
4 - 0
GOT
81%
13%
6%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
MIS
2 - 0
ARD
27%
25%
48%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Würmla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
WUR
2 - 0
SCH
90%
8%
3%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SPR
1 - 2
WUR
21%
21%
58%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
WUR
1 - 2
GAF
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 1
WUR
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
LEO
1 - 1
WUR
39%
24%
37%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |