Ardagger vs St. Peter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
SCO
1 - 1
ARD
22%
20%
57%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
ARD
1 - 0
SPR
53%
23%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
ARD
0 - 0
ROH
46%
23%
32%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
KOT
3 - 2
ARD
71%
18%
11%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ARD
1 - 1
GAF
31%
23%
46%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
St. Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
STP
0 - 0
KOT
13%
19%
68%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
GAF
3 - 1
STP
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
STP
1 - 3
WAI
20%
21%
59%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
LAN
2 - 1
STP
65%
18%
17%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
STP
1 - 1
SCH
14%
17%
69%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |