Ardagger vs Ortmann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
25.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
SPR
1 - 2
ARD
18%
23%
59%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ROH
1 - 0
ARD
15%
19%
66%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
ARD
0 - 1
KOT
34%
25%
41%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
GAF
0 - 1
ARD
39%
23%
38%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
ARD
0 - 0
WAI
40%
23%
36%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
SCO
1 - 1
KOT
25%
21%
54%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
GAF
0 - 0
SCO
54%
20%
26%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
SCO
3 - 1
WAI
27%
20%
53%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
LAN
3 - 1
SCO
49%
21%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
SCO
2 - 4
SCH
28%
21%
51%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |