Ardagger vs Mistelbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2009 |
KRE
4 - 5
ARD
46%
24%
29%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2009 |
SCH
4 - 1
ARD
30%
26%
44%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
ARD
2 - 0
SCO
76%
16%
9%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2009 |
ARD
1 - 1
ASV
48%
24%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
SVH
0 - 1
ARD
32%
26%
43%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Mistelbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2009 |
MIS
1 - 4
SOL
32%
24%
44%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
SVS
3 - 2
MIS
57%
23%
20%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
MIS
1 - 1
LEO
41%
25%
34%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
MIS
3 - 1
GAF
33%
25%
42%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
KOT
2 - 0
MIS
67%
19%
14%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |