Arda Kardzhali vs Zagorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
45.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arda Kardzhali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
SVI
1 - 0
ARK
83%
12%
5%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ARK
1 - 4
NES
14%
22%
64%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 0
ARK
60%
21%
20%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
SPA
2 - 1
ARK
70%
19%
11%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ARK
1 - 2
FKH
24%
24%
52%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Zagorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ZAG
1 - 0
LEV
37%
26%
37%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
MAS
2 - 0
ZAG
72%
18%
10%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SOZ
0 - 0
ZAG
68%
19%
13%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
SVI
3 - 0
ZAG
71%
18%
11%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ZAG
1 - 0
NES
23%
25%
52%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +2 |