Serie D Grupo B Jor. 19

Arconatese vs Casatese analysis

Arconatese Casatese
36 ELO 38
0.1% Tilt -8.7%
5245º General ELO ranking 5358º
145º Country ELO ranking 151º
ELO win probability
42.4%
Arconatese
25.9%
Draw
31.7%
Casatese

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
Arconatese
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.7%
Win probability
Casatese
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arconatese
-9%
-41%
Casatese

Points and table prediction

Arconatese
Their league position
Casatese
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
58
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lumezzane
74
77
100%
Alcione
72
72
100%
Casatese
58
59
100%
Arconatese
56
57
100%
Desenzano Calvina
50
53
58%
US Ponte San Pietro
51
51
42%
Franciacorta
51
51
0%
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
47
48
61.5%
Varesina
46
47
61.5%
Calcio Brusaporto
10º
45
45
10º
100%
Seregno
12º
38
41
11º
100%
Villa Valle
11º
39
39
12º
30.5%
Folgore Caratese
14º
36
39
13º
10.5%
Real Calepina
13º
36
37
14º
16%
US Breno
15º
36
37
15º
45%
Città di Varese
16º
33
33
16º
92.5%
Sona Calcio
17º
26
26
17º
100%
Caronnese
18º
15
15
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Arconatese
Casatese
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Arconatese
Casatese
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arconatese
Arconatese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jan. 2023
SER
Seregno
0 - 2
Arconatese
ARC
50%
23%
28%
34 34 0 0
23 Dec. 2022
ASS
AC Monza
2 - 1
Arconatese
ARC
91%
8%
1%
34 77 43 0
21 Dec. 2022
VCB
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
2 - 0
Arconatese
ARC
46%
22%
32%
35 34 1 -1
17 Dec. 2022
ARC
Arconatese
0 - 2
Alcione
ALC
41%
25%
34%
36 40 4 -1
11 Dec. 2022
ADR
Franciacorta
4 - 4
Arconatese
ARC
42%
24%
35%
37 33 4 -1

Matches

Casatese
Casatese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jan. 2023
CAS
Casatese
0 - 2
Calcio Brusaporto
CAL
54%
23%
23%
40 37 3 0
21 Dec. 2022
CAS
Casatese
0 - 3
US Breno
USB
77%
14%
9%
41 28 13 -1
17 Dec. 2022
VIL
Villa Valle
0 - 1
Casatese
CAS
36%
27%
37%
41 35 6 0
11 Dec. 2022
CAS
Casatese
3 - 1
Desenzano Calvina
DES
72%
16%
12%
40 30 10 +1
04 Dec. 2022
VAR
Varesina
0 - 1
Casatese
CAS
36%
27%
37%
39 34 5 +1
X