Arcade vs Caldas CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
20.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arcade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
SOU
2 - 2
ARC
17%
22%
61%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 2
ARC
48%
23%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
ARC
4 - 2
VCC
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
ARC
2 - 2
UNI
33%
24%
43%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
PUE
2 - 1
ARC
79%
13%
7%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
CAL
3 - 1
MAR
26%
22%
52%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
PUE
3 - 1
CAL
81%
12%
6%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
CAL
2 - 2
ADR
61%
20%
19%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
CAL
0 - 3
COR
23%
23%
53%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
UDE
1 - 2
CAL
49%
22%
29%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |