ARC Alphense vs Zwaluwen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
DHS
1 - 0
ARC
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ARC
2 - 0
JOD
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 1
ARC
27%
23%
50%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
POO
0 - 6
ARC
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
ARC
3 - 1
SPI
70%
17%
13%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
ZWA
1 - 1
CAP
29%
24%
47%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
ZWA
2 - 3
VVS
81%
12%
8%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SMI
0 - 4
ZWA
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
FCS
5 - 1
ZWA
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
ZWA
1 - 1
RIJ
39%
24%
37%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |