ARC Alphense vs Swift analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
33.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
DEL
2 - 1
ARC
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
ARC
4 - 0
FSP
72%
15%
13%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
HAA
3 - 0
ARC
32%
22%
46%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ARC
0 - 1
SPO
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
DSO
0 - 2
ARC
35%
22%
44%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SWI
2 - 1
NOO
52%
24%
24%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 1
SWI
18%
20%
62%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
SWI
3 - 0
HAA
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
DEL
3 - 0
SWI
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -3 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
SWI
1 - 1
FSP
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |