ARC Alphense vs Neptunus-Schiebroek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CSW
0 - 1
ARC
28%
23%
49%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ARC
4 - 1
VIT
68%
19%
14%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
VOL
2 - 0
ARC
33%
23%
44%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ARC
6 - 0
ALE
82%
12%
5%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
FSP
3 - 1
ARC
28%
21%
52%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Neptunus-Schiebroek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
SCN
0 - 5
ZWA
31%
24%
45%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ARG
6 - 0
SCN
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
NOO
0 - 0
SCN
63%
21%
17%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SCN
2 - 2
VIT
65%
20%
15%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
HED
1 - 1
SCN
53%
21%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |