ARC Alphense vs CSW analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
BRE
0 - 2
ARC
46%
22%
31%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ARC
1 - 1
SVC
67%
17%
15%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
SCN
0 - 2
ARC
29%
23%
49%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
ARC
2 - 2
VIT
43%
24%
33%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
XER
2 - 1
ARC
62%
20%
18%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CSW
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
CSW
3 - 2
VIT
37%
25%
39%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
FSP
2 - 1
CSW
67%
17%
16%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
CSW
0 - 1
HED
50%
22%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SCN
1 - 1
CSW
53%
23%
25%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CSW
3 - 2
ALE
82%
13%
6%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |