ARC Alphense vs Apeldoorn CSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
32.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ARC
2 - 1
EXC
36%
25%
38%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
HAR
2 - 5
ARC
73%
17%
11%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
GEN
5 - 1
ARC
56%
23%
22%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
ARC
2 - 0
KAT
30%
24%
47%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
ARC
1 - 1
BAR
25%
25%
50%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Apeldoorn CSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
APE
1 - 0
FLE
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
APE
2 - 3
LIS
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
HHC
0 - 3
APE
59%
22%
20%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
APE
1 - 1
IJS
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
RIJ
8 - 2
APE
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | -1 |