Arbroath vs Queen of the South analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
54.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
EAS
0 - 1
ARB
45%
24%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ARB
1 - 4
AYR
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
ARB
1 - 2
ALL
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
ALL
0 - 1
ARB
59%
21%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
STR
2 - 0
ARB
39%
23%
37%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Queen of the South
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
QOS
2 - 0
AYR
78%
15%
7%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
EAS
2 - 3
QOS
18%
23%
59%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
QOS
3 - 0
ALB
87%
10%
3%
|
67 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
STR
0 - 5
QOS
20%
23%
57%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
QOS
2 - 1
STE
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |