Arbroath vs Montrose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
STE
4 - 4
ARB
49%
23%
28%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
ARB
0 - 1
ALL
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
AYR
0 - 1
ARB
43%
24%
33%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ARB
1 - 0
STR
62%
21%
18%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 0
ARB
58%
21%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
ELG
2 - 0
MON
63%
19%
18%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
BLA
1 - 1
MON
55%
22%
23%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
MON
1 - 2
QUE
48%
23%
29%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
CLY
1 - 0
MON
41%
25%
35%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ELG
3 - 2
MON
59%
20%
21%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |