Arbroath vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
35.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1937 |
QUE
2 - 1
ARB
61%
19%
19%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1937 |
ARB
4 - 2
ALB
62%
19%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1937 |
GLA
4 - 0
ARB
86%
9%
5%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1937 |
TLA
3 - 2
ARB
72%
15%
13%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1937 |
ARB
4 - 0
QOS
57%
21%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1937 |
KIL
0 - 1
MHE
44%
22%
33%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1937 |
HIB
0 - 0
KIL
44%
23%
33%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1937 |
KIL
3 - 3
CEL
48%
23%
29%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1937 |
FAL
5 - 0
KIL
60%
19%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1937 |
KIL
2 - 1
STM
68%
17%
15%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |