Arbroath vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
40.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
ARB
3 - 4
FAL
20%
24%
57%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
AIR
2 - 1
ARB
61%
23%
17%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
ALL
2 - 2
ARB
65%
20%
16%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2003 |
ARB
1 - 0
RAI
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
ARB
2 - 2
HAM
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
DUN
3 - 1
GRE
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
GRE
1 - 1
HAM
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
FOR
2 - 3
GRE
46%
24%
30%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
GRE
2 - 0
STR
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
GRE
2 - 1
EAS
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |