Arbroath vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
43.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
ARB
0 - 1
ALL
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
ROS
4 - 0
ARB
69%
20%
12%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
ARB
2 - 0
FAL
31%
25%
44%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
QOS
2 - 2
ARB
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
ICT
5 - 0
ARB
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
AYR
1 - 1
CLY
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
FAL
3 - 0
AYR
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
ICT
2 - 0
AYR
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
AYR
1 - 1
STM
67%
20%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2002 |
AYR
0 - 2
FAL
58%
22%
21%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -2 |