Arbroath vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
ALL
0 - 1
ARB
59%
21%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
STR
2 - 0
ARB
39%
23%
37%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
ARB
0 - 1
BRE
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ALB
0 - 1
ARB
21%
22%
57%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
STE
1 - 0
ARB
40%
25%
35%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
ALL
0 - 1
ARB
59%
21%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 1
ALL
39%
25%
37%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ALL
2 - 2
AYR
66%
19%
14%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
QOS
0 - 0
ALL
67%
20%
14%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
ALL
4 - 1
STR
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |