Arbroath vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
32.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
AYR
2 - 1
ARB
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
ARB
0 - 2
EAS
32%
27%
41%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
ARB
1 - 2
STI
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
RAI
2 - 1
ARB
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
ARB
4 - 0
PET
32%
27%
42%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
ALL
0 - 0
RAI
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
PET
2 - 2
ALL
64%
20%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
ALL
1 - 2
ABE
16%
21%
63%
|
52 | 78 | 26 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
ALL
2 - 2
STR
67%
18%
14%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
ALL
2 - 1
BRE
28%
24%
48%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |