Arbon 05 vs YF Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
68.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbon 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
UST
6 - 1
ARB
60%
20%
20%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
SIR
0 - 0
ARB
61%
20%
20%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
ARB
2 - 3
MEL
32%
21%
47%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
WID
5 - 1
ARB
79%
13%
8%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
ARB
1 - 1
KOS
21%
20%
60%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
YF Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
BAS
2 - 2
YFJ
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
YFJ
1 - 5
CHA
61%
20%
20%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
YFJ
2 - 5
NEX
25%
23%
52%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
DEL
5 - 3
YFJ
24%
26%
50%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
OLD
1 - 2
YFJ
33%
27%
41%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |