Erbil vs Ahal FT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erbil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
ARB
3 - 1
ALM
60%
24%
16%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
AHA
2 - 1
ARB
27%
24%
49%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
ARB
0 - 1
ALQ
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
ZAK
0 - 0
ARB
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2015 |
ARB
1 - 1
NAF
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ahal FT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
AHA
0 - 1
HTT
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
MER
2 - 3
AHA
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
AHA
1 - 1
AGA
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
AHA
3 - 2
HFT
55%
22%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
AHA
2 - 1
ARB
27%
24%
49%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -2 |