Arbeca vs Castelldans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
39.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-78%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbeca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
ARB
0 - 2
SOS
15%
19%
66%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ARB
2 - 5
ALC
28%
21%
51%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
ARB
1 - 1
PAR
16%
18%
67%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ARB
1 - 2
ALC
31%
22%
47%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ARB
1 - 3
ALM
52%
21%
27%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Castelldans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 0
ALP
24%
22%
54%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ALG
3 - 0
CAS
84%
11%
5%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 4
GOL
26%
23%
51%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 0
CAS
41%
22%
37%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
ALB
31%
23%
46%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |