Arbeca vs Alcoletge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
42.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-76%
+166%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbeca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ALG
2 - 1
ARB
28%
22%
50%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ARB
4 - 2
LGD
41%
21%
38%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ALC
4 - 3
ARB
54%
20%
26%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ROS
1 - 2
ARB
30%
22%
49%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ARB
3 - 4
VIL
72%
16%
13%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Alcoletge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ALC
3 - 1
SOS
34%
21%
45%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
AIT
2 - 2
ALC
24%
20%
56%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ALG
1 - 3
ALC
44%
22%
34%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ALC
4 - 1
LGD
16%
18%
66%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ALC
3 - 1
ALC
51%
21%
29%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |