Araxá vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
43.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araxá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
BOA
1 - 0
ARA
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 2
VIL
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ARA
2 - 3
CRZ
9%
17%
74%
|
46 | 83 | 37 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 0
ARA
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 1
AME
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
TOM
0 - 1
VIL
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CAL
0 - 0
TOM
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
TOM
2 - 1
BOA
33%
25%
42%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CRZ
3 - 1
TOM
87%
10%
3%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
TOM
1 - 0
NEC
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |