Aravaca vs Vicálvaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
41.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
CVI
2 - 0
ARA
68%
19%
13%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
ARA
0 - 1
VLP
59%
21%
20%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
RAY
4 - 1
ARA
32%
24%
44%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
ARA
2 - 2
ALC
48%
23%
29%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
ARA
1 - 1
BRU
34%
24%
41%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vicálvaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
CDV
1 - 0
TRS
49%
23%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
MEJ
1 - 1
CDV
31%
25%
44%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
CDV
0 - 0
TCS
52%
23%
25%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
EFM
1 - 3
CDV
22%
23%
55%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
CDV
0 - 2
COS
31%
24%
45%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |