Aravaca vs Brunete analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ATL
2 - 2
ARA
14%
21%
66%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
PEG
1 - 4
ARA
42%
25%
34%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -10 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
ARA
3 - 2
RMC
23%
22%
54%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +3 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
COL
2 - 2
ARA
47%
24%
29%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
ARA
2 - 2
SSR
22%
23%
55%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Brunete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
BRU
0 - 1
ADA
37%
25%
38%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |