Araripina FC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
76.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
13%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araripina FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
POR
1 - 0
ARA
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ARA
0 - 1
CAB
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
VCR
3 - 3
ARA
50%
23%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ARA
3 - 2
YPI
36%
24%
40%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2010 |
SPO
1 - 0
ARA
85%
11%
4%
|
37 | 79 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
NAU
2 - 1
SAN
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
NAU
3 - 1
SET
86%
11%
4%
|
74 | 36 | 38 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
YPI
2 - 2
NAU
11%
18%
71%
|
74 | 42 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
NAU
2 - 1
SAL
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2010 |
VCR
1 - 0
NAU
8%
15%
77%
|
74 | 38 | 36 | 0 |