Ararat vs Maardu FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
29.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2014 |
TIN
1 - 0
FCA
71%
17%
13%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
FCA
0 - 4
TIN
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
MAA
2 - 4
FCA
55%
22%
24%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
FCA
2 - 3
FLO
76%
14%
10%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
TJK
2 - 0
FCA
29%
24%
48%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Maardu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
TFS
4 - 1
MAA
80%
13%
8%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
MAA
2 - 4
FCA
55%
22%
24%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
FCE
2 - 2
MAA
38%
23%
40%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
EMM
3 - 1
MAA
58%
20%
22%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MAA
0 - 4
TIN
48%
22%
29%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -2 |