Arar vs Najran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
45.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
AFC
0 - 1
OHO
27%
25%
48%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
ALD
1 - 0
AFC
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
AFC
2 - 3
ALS
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
ALJ
2 - 1
AFC
55%
24%
20%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
ALH
2 - 0
AFC
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
NAJ
2 - 1
THU
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
SAH
1 - 1
NAJ
34%
28%
39%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
NAJ
3 - 1
ALK
45%
26%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
ALS
1 - 1
NAJ
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
NAJ
1 - 3
JAB
41%
27%
33%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |