Arapongas vs Roma Apucarana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arapongas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 2
ARA
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 1
ARA
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ARA
4 - 0
ACP
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CCR
1 - 2
ARA
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 0
JMA
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Roma Apucarana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
JMA
1 - 2
ROM
45%
25%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ROM
1 - 4
COT
11%
19%
71%
|
52 | 81 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ROM
2 - 1
CCR
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CIA
4 - 1
ROM
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
OPE
2 - 3
ROM
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |