Arapongas vs Prudentópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arapongas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ATP
3 - 0
ARA
82%
14%
4%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
ARA
0 - 0
PAR
18%
24%
58%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
OPE
2 - 2
ARA
57%
24%
20%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ARA
1 - 0
LON
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
GRE
3 - 0
ARA
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Prudentópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
PRU
2 - 1
JMA
18%
22%
59%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
PRU
0 - 0
OPE
15%
21%
64%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
PAR
3 - 0
PRU
82%
13%
5%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
GRE
0 - 1
PRU
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
PRU
1 - 0
TCW
25%
26%
49%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |