Arapongas vs Cianorte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arapongas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
ATP
1 - 2
ARA
85%
12%
3%
|
47 | 80 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
ARA
2 - 0
SJP
72%
18%
10%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
ARA
2 - 0
POL
68%
20%
13%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2010 |
ROM
2 - 1
ARA
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
FOZ
1 - 1
ARA
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cianorte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
CIA
0 - 1
IRA
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CIA
1 - 2
IRA
37%
25%
39%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ACP
2 - 1
CIA
35%
25%
40%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CIA
2 - 0
ENG
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
CIA
1 - 1
TCW
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |