Arahal vs JD Bormujos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arahal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
ARH
2 - 1
ADC
49%
25%
26%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
ATL
0 - 0
ARH
50%
24%
26%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
UDT
2 - 0
ARH
61%
21%
17%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
ARH
1 - 1
AGU
54%
23%
24%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
SAN
2 - 2
ARH
36%
25%
39%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
JD Bormujos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
JDB
2 - 1
VIS
66%
20%
14%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
BET
0 - 1
JDB
77%
14%
8%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
JDB
1 - 2
SJO
32%
25%
43%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 0
JDB
46%
25%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
JDB
3 - 0
LEB
60%
22%
19%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |