Arahal vs El Rubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arahal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
ARH
41%
24%
35%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ARH
2 - 0
MAR
57%
22%
21%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 2
ARH
64%
19%
18%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
ARH
0 - 1
LAJ
50%
23%
27%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
ARH
1 - 1
TRI
66%
19%
15%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
El Rubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
ELR
2 - 0
LAR
52%
22%
26%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
HER
1 - 1
ELR
31%
25%
44%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
ELR
3 - 2
ECI
46%
22%
32%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CAM
2 - 0
ELR
25%
24%
50%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 1
ELR
72%
16%
12%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |